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JOURNALS // Uspekhi Fizicheskikh Nauk // Archive

UFN, 2017 Volume 187, Number 5, Pages 505–524 (Mi ufn5741)

This article is cited in 9 papers

REVIEWS OF TOPICAL PROBLEMS

Scale invariance of shallow seismicity and the prognostic signatures of earthquakes

I. R. Stakhovsky

Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Scienses

Abstract: The results of seismic investigations based on methods of the theory of nonequilibrium processes and self-similarity theory have shown that a shallow earthquake can be treated as a critical transition that occurs during the evolution of a nonequilibrium seismogenic system and is preceded by phenomena such as the scale invariance of spatiotemporal seismic structures. The implication is that seismicity can be interpreted as a purely multifractal process. Modeling the focal domain as a fractal cluster of microcracks allows formulating the prognostic signatures of earthquakes actually observed in seismic data. Seismic scaling permits monitoring the state of a seismogenic system as it approaches instability.

Keywords: seismicity, multifractal measure, prognostic signatures of earthquakes, seismic kinetics, scaling, fault field, seismic field, scaling correspondence.

PACS: 91.30.-f, 91.30.Px

MSC: 28A80 86A17

Received: July 5, 2016
Revised: September 8, 2016
Accepted: September 20, 2016

DOI: 10.3367/UFNr.2016.09.037970


 English version:
Physics–Uspekhi, 2017, 60:5, 472–489

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