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JOURNALS // Upravlenie Bol'shimi Sistemami // Archive

UBS, 2014 Issue 51, Pages 107–129 (Mi ubs780)

This article is cited in 1 paper

Control in Social and Economic Systems

Choice of investment strategy of firms under demand uncertainty

V. K. Akinfiev

Institute of Control Sciences of RAS

Abstract: Intensive competition on global markets forces companies to make their investment decisions in more uncertain environment than before. We study impact of investment strategy of a firm on its financial performance and efficiency of investment under demand uncertainty. The main distinguishing feature of the proposed analysis scheme is consideration of the relationship between an alternative strategy chosen and scenario conditions (market dynamics), which is modeled as a negative feedback during simulation. This paper describes the mathematical model, which implements the proposed analytical scheme of analysis.

Keywords: investment strategy, market volatility, mathematical model, return on investment.

UDC: 681.5
BBK: 65.050



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