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Short Communications
Semiordering of the probabilities of the first passage time for Markov processes
G. I. Kalmykov Moscow
Abstract:
Let
$\{\xi(t),\ t\in T\}$ bå a real Markov process. Let
$c(t)$ be a real function and
$\widehat\tau_\xi(s,c(t))$ $(\tau_\xi(s,c(t)))$ denote the first time, after
$s$, of the crossing (the contact) of the curve
$x=c(t)$.
Two real Markov processes
$\{\xi_1(t),t\in T\}$ and
$\{\xi_2(t),t\in T\}$ with conditional probabilities
$\mathbf P_{s,x}^{(1)}\{B\}$ and
$\mathbf P_{s,x}^{(2)}\{B\}$ being considered, sufficient conditions for the inequality
\begin{gather*}
\mathbf P_{s,x}^{(1)}\{\widehat\tau_{\xi_1}(s,a(t))\le\min(t,\widehat\tau_{\xi_1}(s,b(t))\}\le
\\
\le\mathbf P_{s,x}^{(2)}\{\widehat\tau_{\xi_2}(s,a(t))\le\min(t,\widehat\tau_{\xi_2}(s,b(t))\}
\end{gather*}
are obtained. Here
$a(t)$ and
$b(t)$ are real functions satisfying
$a(t)<x<b(t)$.
The analogous results are obtained for
$\tau_{\xi_1}$ and
$\tau_{\xi_2}$.
Received: 16.02.1967