Control in the socio-economic systems

Quantitative assessment of country development success index and its prognostic potential

S. S. Sulakshin, A. N. Avinova, I. V. Bogdan

Governance and Problem Analysis Center, Moscow

Abstract: The paper presents a methodology for the aggregated quantitative assessment of the state of the country as a complex social system. The analysis of the stability evaluation is given, the perspectives for further development of methods for predicting the crisis of complex social systems are shown. The interpretation of the dynamics of socio-economic indices and the prospects for their use is discussed.

Keywords: methodology, quantitative evaluation, complex social system, forecasting, trend.

UDC: 51-77