This article is cited in 7 papers

Processing of Experimental Data

Empirical restoration of the measures of possibility and possibility likelihood in models of expert decisions

Yu. P. Pyt'ev

M. V. Lomonosov Moscow State University

Abstract: The motivation and ideas of developing the possibility as an alternative probability of the model of a randomness phenomenon are considered and elements of the possibility theory that are necessary for understanding are given. The empirical restoration methods of a possibility model of expert decisions and the methods for estimation of the confidence in the collective opinion of experts are examined. The empirical restoration of an indeterminate fuzzy model of collective expert decisions is examined, in which experts inform to what degree their own conclusions are probable.

Presented by the member of Editorial Board: A. I. Kibzun

Received: 02.03.2009

 English version: Automation and Remote Control, 2010, 71:3, 486–500

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