Abstract:
The problem is considered of taking account of heterogeneity in the individual radiosensitivity in evaluating the radiation risk of the origin of a disease in a group of persons subjected to the radiation action. Mathematical models are described for the estimation of the radiation risk of the origin of the disease with and without regard for heterogeneity. The use of the described method is demonstrated with an example of the estimation of the risk of the origin of radiation-induced diseases from the class of “solid cancers” among the persons taking part in the liquidation of consequences of the accident at the Chernobyl' Atomic Power Station (CAPS) in the years 1986–1991. It is shown that the heterogeneity disregard leads to understated estimates of the radiation risk of the origin of radiation-induced solid cancers. The effect is investigated of the length of the latent period in the origin of radiation-induced “solid cancers” in taking account of heterogeneity.