Stochastic Systems

Forecasting the laws of distribution of the conveyance and certification times for storekeeping

O. N. Starosel'tsev

"Patriot" Co., Kazan, Russia

Abstract: Consideration was given to forecasting the dynamics of the distribution laws of the times of commodity conveyance and certification in the wholesale storekeeping systems. An approach to this problem relying on forecasting the corresponding random processes was proposed. Mathematical models of the dynamics of conveyance and certification times were formulated, and the optimal methods of forecasting were substantiated for them. A method of combined analytical and expert forecasts was presented.

Presented by the member of Editorial Board: V. A. Lototskii

Received: 23.12.2003

 English version: Automation and Remote Control, 2005, 66:6, 974–981

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